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Averages Don't Keep The Lights On

3/26/2022

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Here's a story that will scare you right to the core.  The Midcontinent Independent System Operator says its system is volatile.  What does that mean?  Check out this article.  It's what the mainstream media isn't telling you.  As more and more variable generators are built, it's getting harder and harder to keep the lights on.

And there's this quote, which probably deserves some sort of speaking truth to power award:
“I caution you about averages,” Schug said. “Our extremes are much higher.”
That's right!  All the "reports" and "studies" that claim we can run our country on 100% renewable energy are based on averages.  Because renewables only produce when conditions are right, they are averaged together to produce an average amount of generation on paper.  But MISO doesn't operate the grid on paper.  It must balance load with generation in real time.  Extremes happen in real time, not averages.  As MISO continues to lose fossil fuel generators that can run when called, and replaces them with renewables that only run when they want to run, the amount of available generation MISO can call to serve load shrinks.
Wayne Schug, MISO’s vice president of strategy and business development, said a growing renewables fleet and rapidly changing weather is driving increasing volatility and an “inability to deal with it.”  

By 2030, as little as 57% of the RTO’s fleet could be dispatchable, staff said. Dispatchable resources accounted for 84% of the fleet in 2020.

Schug said that since 2017, average daily output swings and forecasting errors have grown by gigawatts and percentages points, respectively. He said while the grid operator continues to get better at output forecasting, the expanding wind fleet has blotted out any signs of improvement.
If we're cutting the amount of dispatchable generation,  what are we also doing to cut load?  Not a thing.  We're actually trying to add to load by switching to electric cars and heating.  We're trying to add the entire energy load currently carried by natural gas and oil to the electric grid.  A grid that already has trouble keeping up!

Reality is screaming here and nobody is paying attention.
Moeller said that for three days in 2020, MISO’s entire wind fleet in the upper Midwest failed to generate a megawatt. He also said unexpected cloud cover could make a solar farm “disappear within three minutes.”

Joundi said MISO is working with an aging generation fleet more prone to outages with increasingly uncertain return-to-service dates. He said the footprint’s current rate of generation retirement — propelled, in part, by state and federal policies — is outpacing members’ capacity replacements.
Staff expects the number of emergency near-misses to rise every year, Joundi said.

Joundi said that the control room now manages more intra-hour instability and intensifying “wind droughts,” where wind output drops off below forecasts.

Director Mark Johnson asked staff to invite a control room operator to a board meeting to address their recent experiences dealing with grid volatility.

I think we need to institute mandatory control room field trips for every blithe young environmentalist who insists we can become completely carbon free in just a few years by relying on wind and solar.  Ditto for the lazy journalists who parrot this political prevarication because they're simply afraid that the monster they have created will cancel them if they tell the truth.

The averages only work on paper.  The big idea that we can build a "national grid" to instantly ship excess renewable generation anywhere in the country also only works on paper.  Renewables are not dispatchable.  Importing power from other regions to keep the lights on during renewable volatility can only rely on dispatchable generation, like that produced by fossil fuels.  But as we build more renewables and shut down more fossil fuels, we continue to make our power supply more and more volatile.  You can't "borrow" power from a region that doesn't have enough to share because its own renewables aren't producing.  If making a regional grid even 50% reliant on variable renewables like wind and solar requires the grid to import vast quantities of electricity from other regional grids, what's going to happen when all the regional grids are at 50% renewables?  Who is left to supply the power at times when no region is producing enough, like after dark?  You cannot rely on wind to pick up enough after dark to carry the entire solar load, and it's dark from coast to coast for a significant number of hours every day.  Batteries, you say?  Not mature enough yet.  They can't store enough power, are very expensive, use many rare and toxic elements mined by slave labor in countries that hate us, and are not recyclable or sustainable.  Wind and solar alone just can't cut it.

It's simply fantasy.  Crazy, destructive fantasy!
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And then the lights go out.

Don't ask an environmentalist or academic if we can provide 24/7 reliable power from 100% renewable energy sources.  That's like asking a heart surgeon to fix your electric car.  Ask someone who actually dispatches power and balances the grid.  These folks are performing increasing acts of magic to keep the lights on and nobody is listening to their warnings because they prefer to revel is fantasy and "averages."

Is it going to take rolling black outs for this story to be told?  Or will we just be asked to "suck it up" to save the planet when it does?
“We face a rapidly transforming energy landscape,” CEO John Bear told directors during a Board Week meeting, warning of a delicate load-supply balance.

He said when MISO introduced its ancillary services market 12 years ago, “load was the only thing that was moving around.”
“Everything else was pretty static and predictable,” Bear said. “Where we stand is not sustainable, and it’s not safe. We have a lot of work in front of us.”  

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Step Right Up!  Get Your Snake Oil Here!

3/25/2022

1 Comment

 
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Agri-Pulse Communications, who aspires to be "the most trusted farm and rural policy source in Washington, D.C., providing a balanced perspective on a wide variety of issues including the farm bill, nutrition, trade, food safety, environment, biotechnology, organic, conservation and crop insurance" has some snake oil to sell you.
Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc. is pleased to lead a webinar to discuss how expanding, integrating, and modernizing the North American high-voltage grid can drive rural economic development. Speakers will highlight the good-paying jobs that expanding high-voltage transmission will create, in addition to improved electricity affordability, reliability and sustainability.
What good paying jobs?  Building high voltage electric transmission is a specialized skill that is contracted through a handful of national companies.  There are no local jobs for unskilled labor building new transmission.  It's not going to make your electricity any more affordable either.  Those lines don't get built for free.  Electric consumers pay for them in their electric bills.  If they build billions worth of new transmission, you're going to pay for it.  Reliability and sustainability don't belong in the same sentence.  Wind and solar is not reliable.  And, besides, isn't your power already reliable?  Why would you want to pay for increased "reliability" you don't need?

But the biggest lie:  economic development.  The new transmission will cut through prime farmland, placing an impediment in the production line.  In exchange, farmers will get "fair market value" for a tiny strip of land whose use as a transmission right of way ruins the entire field.  And just in case you're thinking, "Oh, heck no!", you won't have a choice.  The transmission (or pipeline) company will apply for eminent domain authority and your state utility commission may hand this out like a party favor.  How does any of this "help" a farmer?  It doesn't.  Not.At.All.

Even more insulting, these folks think you're a bunch of ignorant rubes who can be easily fooled.  Do they believe if they just tell you it's beneficial, that you will fall all over yourselves to get some?

Got an hour to kill next week?  Sign up for this "webinar."
It probably won't be interactive so that you can tell these snake oil salesmen what snakes really want, but at least you'll be prepared for the sales pitch when they show up in your town like a traveling circus.

And if you don't like what you hear during the webinar, be sure to tell Agri-Pulse exactly what you think about their participation in this shameful scheme to take advantage of rural folks, and if they keep hanging out with these snake oil salesmen and helping to peddle the snake oil that they may no longer be trusted by the rural communities that financially support their company.
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Is Grain Belt Express Making Empty Promises in Illinois?

3/8/2022

2 Comments

 
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Grain Belt Express is running a "virtual" open house meeting for affected landowners in conjunction with its second round of physical open house meetings across Illinois.  Some of GBE's web content might surprise you, especially if you're a affected landowner in another state who got promised all sorts of things that never materialized. 

Like monopoles.  For years, Clean Line Energy's Grain Belt Express promised landowners that it would use monopole structures with a smaller footprint.  The Missouri PSC even approved a project that used these structures, falsely claiming that only 9 acres of land across the state would be disturbed (structure footprint only).  And then Invenergy bought GBE when Clean Line went out of business and began to systematically dismantle all the pie-in-the-sky promises made to landowners because there were cheaper options.

One of the first to go were the monopoles.  Invenergy says on its website that all structures will be 40 x 40 (1600 sq. ft.) 4-legged steel lattice towers.  Monopoles are no longer mentioned.
What do the structures look like? The structures will be lattice steel designs. The structure base will have four legs approximately 40 feet by 40 feet wide. The structures will be between 130 to 160 feet tall.

What is the footprint of the structures?
The footprint of each structure is less than 1% of the easement area. Each of the structure’s four legs will have a cylindrical cement foundation that is around 4 to 6 feet wide and about 15 feet deep. These dimensions will vary somewhat based on localized soil conditions.
But GBE's "virtual" open house  says its structures could be monopoles, lattice mast, or 4-legged lattice structures.  The footprint of the monopole and lattice mast structures is estimated to be 6-8 sq. ft.  However, the footprint of the 4-legged lattice structure is estimated to be 27 x 46 ft. (1242 sq. ft.).

How do the structures in Illinois vary so significantly from the structures in Missouri and Kansas?  The answer is that they don't.  Kansas and Missouri were also promised monopoles during the permitting process, which were then switched out for the larger lattice structures after permission to build was granted.  Why is that?  Because lattice structures are cheaper to build and less of them are required per mile.  It saves GBE money by increasing the burden on affected landowners.

What else sounds like an empty promise on GBE's virtual open house? 

GBE repeats that its project will be build AT NO COST TO TAXPAYERS.  What?  Electric transmission is not generally charged to taxpayers.  Electric transmission is a strictly "beneficiary pays" enterprise.  The users of the system who receive the benefit of the infrastructure are the ones who pay for it.  This concept follows through on GBE's unique merchant transmission negotiated rate scheme.  Under this rate mechanism, GBE would negotiate rates charged with voluntary customers who sign up to use the line.  Only those customers who voluntarily sign a contract to use GBE would pay for the line.  So, if nobody in Illinois is going to have to pay for it, that also means nobody in Illinois is going to get any benefit from its use.  It's a flyover project causing burden in Illinois for the benefit of electric customers in other states and regions.

GBE says it will improve reliability... but reliability for whom?  Not Illinois, who will not use the project.  This is nothing more than political opportunism... a scheme laid bare by other claims of "energy independence."  Fact:  Electric grid reliability is planned and ordered by regional transmission organizations.  GBE is not a regional transmission organization project and therefore is not needed for reliability reasons.  Why are you being sold "reliability" you don't need?

You're also being sold "new opportunities" that don't exist. 
...providing new opportunities to local communities along the route
Fact:  GBE is a high-voltage direct current line.  Our electric grid is alternating current.  Direct current must be converted into alternating current before it can be connected to the electric grid.  Converter stations are hugely expensive and may only be located at the beginning of the line and the end of the line.  Therefore, there is no way any locality along the line could use the electricity passing through.  So, where's the "opportunity?"  The "opportunity" to be paid a pittance for the use of your land for the benefit of others and in a way that makes the transmission project owner very, very, very, very, very, very rich.  Not such a great opportunity after all.

GBE pretends that is is being responsive to landowner concerns and is designing its route accordingly.  It says it learned the following things at the Round 1 meetings last month: 
  • Proximity to homes
  • Farm operation impacts, including irrigation and spraying
  • Construction impacts including on crop yields and drain tile
  • Hunting/recreation
  • Planned/platted development

But yet it hasn't adjusted its routes at all for Round 2.  And I'm pretty sure GBE "heard" suggestions that it should route its project buried along a major interstate highway instead of across private property during the Round 1 meetings.  But obviously, GBE didn't listen.  GBE only heard what it wanted to hear, not what was actually said.  Why are there no underground and/or public right of way routing options?  When will these options be developed?  Will they be developed?

GBE prattles on about jobs, jobs, jobs.  It's the same computer program-generated hogwash every transmission project uses to pretend its an "opportunity" for rural areas.  Fact:  Most jobs are specialized and workers who perform them are hired from just a handful of specialized companies who bring workers onsite from other states.  There are few jobs for local workers.  In addition, GBE will contract for materials and supplies from the cheapest source.  They don't care if that supplier is local or not.  But, like all transmission projects, GBE pretends it is going to use local workers and supplies "as much as possible."  It's an open-ended, empty promise.

GBE is paying 110% of the market value of easements.  That's 110% of GBE's calculated market value of your land, which may not agree with an independent appraiser's value.  There's no review of this value, GBE simply wants you to trust their valuation of your property.  That's like the fox guarding the hen house!  When (IF!) you sign an easement, GBE will pay you 20% of the amount you are entitled to.  Wait... what?  GBE strikes a deal to pay you a certain sum and then only pays you 20% of that?  Have you ever tried to buy real estate by only paying for 20% of it?  Promises to pay the balance later are open-ended and maybe empty.  When will you be paid?  Is that written in the contract with a firm date?  How long should you have to wait to get the full purchase price when GBE gets full access to your land once you sign?  Can your contract be written so that you receive full payment on signing?

And take note that there is absolutely no mention whatsoever of Clean Line Energy's structure payments.
Structure Payments In addition to easement payments, you will be compensated for any structures on your property. You can elect an upfront, lump sum payment of $18,000 per structure, or receive annual payments starting at $1,500 per-structure in Year 1 and escalating at 2% each year as long as the structures are on your property.

Looks like Illinois landowners are not getting these payments that were promised to landowners in Missouri and Kansas.  After all, why try to butter up the landowners when the crooked and compromised Illinois legislature has passed an unconstitutional law written for Invenergy's benefit that grants it eminent domain in each county?  GBE doesn't have to fairly compensate landowners, so why bother?

But is this whole project nothing but one giant empty promise?  A merchant transmission project must have contracted customers to pay for its construction before it builds anything.  Try asking GBE who its customers are... GBE has no customers other than a small group of Missouri municipalities who signed up for a measley 5% of the project's capacity at a bargain price.  That won't pay to construct the project.  Ask GBE if they will be posting a bond before beginning construction on a project with no paying customers?

So much complete and utter baloney.  P.T. Barnum would be proud.  Is he going to be at your Round 2 Open House meetings?  Or just his spirit?
2 Comments

There's Nothing "Peaceful" About Eminent Domain Threats

2/28/2022

4 Comments

 
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Invenergy sure is laying it on thick in Illinois these days.  Do they think the people of Illinois don't have internet access where they can read about how the project is playing out in other states where it has been permitted by state utility commissions?

How about this article from Kansas?  Invenergy is shopping around a "road use agreement" that it wants County Commissions to sign.  Invenergy wrote this agreement for its own benefit.  It's most likely not in the best interests of the counties, judging from this statement:
Brown said the roads would not take the wear and tear that building a wind farm would entail, as they aren’t traveling in with heavy loads such as big wind turbines. He said the transmission stations will be brought in pieces and put together on site.
The components of a steel lattice transmission tower and miles of metal cable don't weigh as much as a fiberglass wind turbine blade?  Or the sections of a steel tower to hold the blade?  This is ludicrous.  A transmission line's components weigh as much as a wind turbine's components.  Both are assembled on site, piece by piece.  Who does Brown think he's kidding?  Also, a transmission line will require huge AC/DC converter stations on both ends.  The converter station uses enormous transformers that come fully assembled.  Some of them are so huge that they cannot be moved by truck and must be brought in by rail and then trucked the last little bit to the site.  That would probably produce a whole bunch of "wear and tear" on local road systems.

And because Brown is blowing smoke at the county commissions that there will be no road impacts, can we assume that Invenergy's agreement does not compensate for "wear and tear?"

And what about "wear and tear" on local landowners?
Brown also assured commissioners that the easement talks were peaceful and so far only a handful of requests have gone to court.
“We don’t want to use imminent domain,” he said. “We don’t want to use attorneys, we would rather have a conversation with landowners.”

Peaceful?  Is that like a "mostly peaceful" protest where shop owners are shot and the city is in flames?  Or is it more like the "peaceful" way some folks are said to pass on? 

Taking private property through eminent domain, or the mere threat of it, is never "peaceful."  It's stressful, maddening, and invasive.  There's nothing peaceful about being forced to do something against your will.  It's not a "conversation."  It's a war, albeit one that takes place in legal offices and courtrooms.

If Invenergy doesn't want to use eminent domain, then why apply to use it?  Facts on the ground say that Invenergy does, after all, want to use eminent domain.
... only a handful of requests have gone to court.
How many is a handful?  Does that include the fistful that have been filed in Missouri as well?  Invenergy claims that it has acquired 65% of the easements it needs in Kansas and Missouri.  Does that mean that Invenergy will take the remaining 35% using eminent domain?  Hardly a "handful."

Invenergy doesn't even mention its recent use of eminent domain in Kansas and Missouri during its PR blitz across Illinois.
“Eminent Domain is something of a last resort used here,” Pnazek said. “In Kansas and Missouri to date, Invenergy has signed up about 65% of the affected parcels on a voluntary basis, and those are the approach that we’d be taking here as well as we progress the project through Illinois.”
He conveniently forgot to mention the eminent domain filings his company has made in Kansas and Missouri.

And then there's this from Kansas...
Brown also told commissioners that there need not be concern over pushy land agents, stating that Invenergy hires reputable and credible agents but told the commissioners to contact him with any concerns.
As if Invenergy would even want to do anything about "pushy" land agents that hound landowners to sign agreements instead of going to court.  The fox is watching the hen house here!  Funny he didn't mention the Grain Belt Express Code of Conduct for Landowners.  See all those items that begin with "do not"?  That's because land agents DID these things.  It's how they do their job.  Coercion is a job without a moral compass.  When landowners have complained about "violations" of this "code" to GBE, they have been completely dismissed.  Nobody here in the hen house but us foxes!

Hope you've got your snow shovels poised at the ready, Illinois!  (Or maybe another kind of shovel would be more appropriate).
4 Comments

A Full Array of Irrational Arguments

2/21/2022

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Here's an oldie, but a goodie!
"...and just in case some people want them underground your government and transmission companies will have a full array of irrational arguments and inflated costs to make sure nothing gets buried."
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Under the Microscope

2/21/2022

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Did you know that there is a small group of scientific researchers that study transmission opposition?  We're like some exotic creature that nobody understands.  They speak in hushed tones, like they're narrating a golf tournament, so as not to disturb the creatures in their native habitat.

*Warning!  Strong Language*
When I run across one of their studies, it's usually interesting reading because a scientist without a political agenda will generally hit upon some truth.  Of course, that truth is usually wrapped up in complicated hypotheses and mind numbing statistics, but little truths often escape.

Like in this study.

One of the little truths I gleaned from this one is that "compensation packages" are most often associated with environmental group involvement in transmission siting and permitting.
Environmentalists are associated with compensation packages; marginalized groups are associated with undergrounding and combined remediation; and environmentalists, the federal government, and the breadth of coalition actors is associated with the combined remediation outcome.
A compensation package means that someone got paid off to accept the impacts of the project.  It is never the affected landowner, who bears the greatest impact.
However, opponents often have differentiated goals, and a just outcome for one member of a coalition may be unjust for another.
Environmentalists use landowners as battering rams, and ultimately sacrificial lambs, to achieve their own goals.  An environmental group opposing a project because of its fuel source will pretend it cares about property rights in order to win the support of landowners, but when push comes to shove, the environmental group will often end its opposition if the project owner agrees to fund environmental goals.  Ditto on the local governments, to a degree.  Local governments usually get involved at the request of their constituents.  But a project developer knows that it may end the government's opposition by offering additional payments for the local government.  Neither situation actually provides compensation to affected landowners, but pays others to toss the landowners under the bus in exchange for their own gain.

The take away:  Don't allow your landowner group to be conscripted to fight the battles of others.  Autonomy always.  Just because a well-funded national environmental organization weighs in on your side doesn't mean they have the same interest as you.  In fact, they may be using you.

Local governments don't usually get involved with the idea of using you for their own gain, but sometimes the payola is just too much for these local officials to resist.  When that happens, they are usually tossed out of office at the next election, but that doesn't stop the impacts from happening.

The second truth is that "public meetings" hosted by transmission developers are nothing more than a staged dog & pony show.  These meetings are not meant as a two-way exchange of ideas.  Don't waste your time trying to convince the transmission developer to change its plans.
Developers often determine the dimensions of the project, such as route options, during the upstream phase of the decision-making process (Cotton and Devine-Wright 2013). Public consultation can occur later, and community meetings can have the goals of limiting engagement to final route selection and of selling the project.
That's right, the decision of what to build where has already been made.  You'd be more productive to look at these meetings as an opportunity to gather information for your battle and to make connections with other disgruntled landowners.  I always look at them as first and foremost recruitment venues, and secondarily as a place to document conflicting and misleading information.

It's all good though because transmission developers, governments, regulators and environmental groups dismiss these studies because they often don't agree with their own misunderstandings about grassroots opposition.  They may think they have us all figured out, but they never even get close.  And that's how we win our battles.
1 Comment

News Flash:  Skelly Admits He Is Full Of Crap

1/12/2022

1 Comment

 
Finally, an admission!
Skelly said markets and mechanisms are critical, “so that private actors can come in and compete and beat the crap out of each other and bring costs down.”
Well, you can't beat the crap out of someone who isn't composed of crap in the first place. 

Touche'.

We also get one of those almost analogies that Skelly spews.  The ones where he tries to make an analogy, but in the same breath ends up tripping over it.
“It’s not a gale-force wind, but it’s a little bit of momentum out there in the world for us to tap into,” said Michael Skelly, the CEO of Grid United, a Houston-based transmission developer.
Compare to the famous Ironman/triathlon/decathlon/marathon that wasn't.
You would think in eight years, you would have sort of a lull, but it’s a sort of a mad dash every day to move these projects forward,” Skelly said. “It’s more like an Ironman [Triathlon], not a marathon. It’s more like a decathlon, but it goes on for eight years.”
Blah, blah, blah.  Why does anyone think this guy is relevant anymore?  He's admittedly full of crap.  He has no relevance to the story here, but that never stops him from making failed analogies to the media.

What this story is about is the eagerness of energy companies to help themselves to the taxpayer buffet of free cheese legislated into existence by a biased and uninformed Congress.  Case in point:
That “could accelerate everything we’re doing in our clean energy transition and probably provide some pretty nice [cash flow] features to fund additional capital investment,” said James Chapman, the chief financial officer at Virginia-based Dominion Energy Inc. “So it all seems pretty good.”
Right.  Pretty nice cash flow.  The utilities are raking it in... and it all comes from our pockets.  They wouldn't be interested in "clean energy" at all if they weren't making money hand-over-fist building it.  It's not about climate change, equity, or the future of our planet.  It's about
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It's about
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Gale Klappa, executive chairman of Milwaukee-based WEC Energy Group, said he expected that extensions of renewable tax credits would happen. “It’s such a sausage-making machine in Washington as you know, but if I were a betting man, I think something will pass,” Klappa said, referring to the “Build Back Better” plan under consideration through the budget reconciliation process.
I'll take that bet and raise you $20, Gale.

When you put out the cheese, the rats will show up.

So much crap, it smells like an overflowing manure pit on an August afternoon.  Also an analogy... correctly presented.
1 Comment

Reaching into History

1/5/2022

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The folks who stand to make a bundle building unprecedented amounts of new electric transmission are busy trying to tell everyone what citizens affected by said new transmission want.  They think they can define you, marginalize you, and take what's yours to serve themselves.

We saw these same arrogant suggestions in comments on FERC's transmission planning rulemaking recently.  But we fought back.  Now they're taking their arrogance to the media.  Well, sort of media... as if we can take biased "Climate News" as any kind of real media.

According to these arrogant shysters, a brand new "investigation" reveals the answer to transmission siting was determined 50 years ago.  They are now promoting a 1970's transmission line siting battle as the answer to contemporary transmission opposition.  Their "investigation" supposedly reveals that the only mistake made in that battle was not notifying affected landowners early enough in the process.  The take away is supposed to be if today's transmission developers engage with landowners early in the process that opposition can be avoided.
One of the lessons was that power companies need to engage the public early and be willing to change course in the face of well-reasoned criticism, as opposed to ramming through a project.
Perhaps most objectionable about the article's contentions is that they are taking great liberty with the history.  The First Battle of America's Energy War is a story that has been studied extensively by today's transmission opposition.  It's a lesson in what not to do.  Do not get bogged down in governmental processes designed to distract your attention.  Do not let the transmission company and their governmental lackeys set your agenda.  Do not play the part they have written for you.  That part ends in defeat because it's designed to run you over, take your property, and build a transmission line there whether you object, or not.  Earlier deployment of the highway to hell will not change the outcome.  It will not result in a docile, happy, affected community.  It doesn't change the fact that land use, prosperity, health, heritage and economic impacts will be visited on the few for the benefit of the disconnected and ungrateful many who believe they can use "stupid" rural America to serve their needs.

Transmission opposition to overhead lines on new rights of way is going to happen.  There is no way to avoid it.  Pretending a 50-year old battle holds the key to today's transmission opposition is nothing more than creative fantasy.  Perhaps they should spend more time studying today's opposition.  If they did, perhaps they'd realize that we've come a long way, baby.  What happened with the PATH project?  The Monmouth County Reliability project?  SWEPCO's Kings River project?  AEP's Windcatcher?  Transource's Independence Energy Connection?  New England Clean Energy Connect?  Cardinal Hickory Creek?  All the Clean Line Energy projects?  I'm probably forgetting a few, and for that I apologize.  The cancellations of hotly opposed Big Transmission projects over the past decade have been too numerous to rattle off the top of my head.  (Somewhere I have a list that I prepared several years ago for an event where I was speaking... somewhere I can't put my finger on right now.)  What would happen if someone studied all these cancelled projects to find the common denominator?  I suppose it would depend on who does the study.  But the only ones who can arrive at the right answer are the transmission opposition groups who won the cancellations.  Collectively, I'd say that the common denominator is overhead transmission on new rights of way.  If you poke a stick into the lion's cage, you're going to piss off the lion.

Maybe the solution is not to engage the lion in the first place.  How can transmission developers do this?  Buried transmission on existing rights of way.  As the developers of the SOO Green project have proven, if you don't create new rights of way using eminent domain, the lion simply doesn't care all that much.  SOO Green has found the secret sauce...
...new transmission can be sited and routed with broad support from the public and the communities most impacted by it.
When transmission opposition and transmission developers agree on something, maybe it deserves a second look?  Instead, the shysters doggedly insist that it isn't a solution at all.
Power companies can reduce conflict by building transmission lines in existing corridors, like along highways and railroads, but those options can be more complicated and costly.
They're not more complicated.  The technology to bury electric transmission along existing rail corridors exists.  It's probably a lot less complicated that engaging in decades-long battles with affected communities.  Costly?  Yes, it may have a higher upfront cost, but it also saves an enormous amount of money the developer would otherwise spend battling opposition, not to mention the time involved.  Time is money, and the environmental groups clambering for new transmission say we don't have the luxury of time.  Why, then, do they insist on doing things the hard way when SOO Green provides the true "shining example" of how to avoid expensive, time-consuming opposition?

One of the first things a community does when notified of a new transmission proposal is find a way to shift it elsewhere.  Sorry, it's just the knee jerk reaction.  However, in all successful opposition groups realization of the true enemy (transmission company) quickly follows.  Then attention may shift to ways to mitigate the impact upon their collective group.  Burial is a favorite.  Out of sight, out of mind.  However, because transmission projects are always presented as fully formed ideas, the developer will always try to shut that idea down because it's not in their plans.  Excuses are usually cost, with a promise that if the community pays the extra (estimated at 10 times the cost), then the project can be buried.  That's no mitigation offer.  It's a dead end.   And why should a community pay to mitigate the impacts of a project from which they will not benefit?  This also applies to crazy ideas to financially bribe local communities to accept impacts.  When ratepayers are picking up the tab for the project, that community will be paying to bribe themselves!  And why is it that financial bribes should be the responsibility of beneficiaries in other areas, while the cost of burying the project and not incurring the impacts of the project in the first place gets left on the doorstep of the affected community?  This is not logical... at all.  Transmission developers also whine that buried projects are harder to maintain and faults are unable to be seen, leading to longer repair times.  WRONG!  Buried projects are completely unaffected by weather, fire, sabotage, and accident.  They fail less often.  But when they do, modern technology can pinpoint the location of the fault to a very small section of line, which can be accessed for repair via regularly spaced maintenance vaults.  Underground transmission is designed to provide for easy detection and repair of faults.

Oh boy... how did I get so far afield?  I've got things to do today, other than this blog.  Let's cut to the chase here...

These arrogant greedsters will continue to push their narrative that only a boot on the neck of rural America can usher in a renewable energy future.  Instead of working with rural America to find a solution, these folks continue to push for more authority to simply take what they want.  Case in point... I emailed the author of this piece 2 days ago.  No response.  They don't want to find an acceptable solution.  They just want more power to control the lives and land of folks in rural places by pretending they know what you want.

Ultimately, it will fail.  Whether it's quickly, courtesy of  those who thoughtfully make public policy, or in a long slog punctuated by protests and violence reminiscent of the 1970's, is up to them.

We have a voice, and we will continue to use it.
1 Comment

Shame on you, Wall Street Journal!

1/1/2022

2 Comments

 
Happy New Year!  My wish for the year is that the news media quits behaving like a political commentator and begins investigating and reporting actual news while allowing the reader to make up his own mind without plowing through a bunch of biased hogwash and meaningless buzzwords.

Case in point:  The Wall Street Journal.

How in the world did the mighty fall so far?

It looks like WSJ hired a bunch of biased and uniformed energy reporters with a political agenda.  Not really surprising, based on the history, but it's actually getting worse!

These two political hacks masquerading as reporters think that Joe Biden can do something to speed up electric transmission permitting and siting. 

No, he can't.  Adding new layers of government control SLOWS things down, it does not speed them up.  But never-you-mind, these two gals believe!
The changes—which include giving the federal government more authority to intervene in state-level permitting decisions—are meant to expedite the approval of new transmission lines, which often encounter regional opposition and face years of delays.
What?  The federal government is going to file a petition to intervene in each state transmission permitting and siting process?  That's what she wrote.  Of course, that's not anywhere near accurate.  She just has a general idea that the feds can somehow force a state to permit, so she makes up some feel-good sounding crap that means absolutely nothing at all.  You know, a REAL reporter would have investigated this matter, found the enabling legislation, and then asked questions of the federal agencies involved.  This lazy reporter just made crap up.

Here's reality:  This is NOT a new process.  It's one that became law back in 2005.  What is new is a change to the wording of the statute that supposedly gives FERC the authority to site (and grant federal eminent domain authority) for a transmission line that is denied a permit by a state utility commission.  The old law only gave FERC authority if a state failed to act on a permit application. 

There's also a whole lot more to this process, such as a congestion study and designation of NIETCs.  This MUST happen first because the only transmission projects eligible for federal usurpation of state authority must be in a NIETC.  Even with a NIETC designation, the state process must play out before it could bump to FERC.  Also, add years of rulemakings and governmental bureaucracy (environmental reviews) to the mix.  And, does Congress actually have the authority to claim a role in electric transmission siting?  Our Constitution says the feds can't step into an area that was left to the states.  Add years of court challenges to this list.  Why didn't the reporter mention ANY of this?

You know, the whining of developers should have tipped a reporter off that there was more to this picture.
Developers expect the new measures to streamline approvals but say they might not be enough. Companies proposing transmission lines say they often face local opposition, protracted state-level study processes or pushback from rival companies that don’t want new sources of electricity coming into regional markets.

“You look at the history in the U.S., and it’s very tough,” said Mike Garland, chief executive of transmission and renewables developer Pattern Energy Group, which recently started operating a 155-mile transmission line in New Mexico that took about seven years to finish.

“A couple of people can stop a transmission line, and that’s really bad news,” Mr. Garland said. “For us, the infrastructure bill provides a number of benefits that can help. It doesn’t solve the problem.”
Of course it doesn't.  It does nothing but throw tax money at a problem and attempt greater force to crush people who object.  The harder the government stamps its boot on the neck of rural America, the more entrenched and creative the opposition will become.  Acting like a bully is never the way to get someone to cooperate.  Waving a big stick and threatening to beat someone with it if they don't get in line is not the way to solve a problem.  What the hell is wrong with you, Rob Gramlich?
Rob Gramlich, founder and president of power-sector consulting firm Grid Strategies LLC and executive director of advocacy group Americans for a Clean Energy Grid, said the Energy Department’s expanded ability to resolve and perhaps override state-level decisions could have a significant effect on efforts to expedite projects. But he said it remains unclear how the agency would use the new tools.
“It may just be the big stick they carry around while speaking softly in these regional transmission efforts and state siting proceedings,” Mr. Gramlich said. “But when everybody knows that stick exists, their behavior might change.”

Who is this clown?  What does a "power-sector consulting firm" actually do?  The reporter wasn't the least bit curious to uncover that Gramlich appears to be Bill Gates' energy investment lackey in his evil plan to take over the world.  Muhahaha, as Dr. Evil would say.

But let's get back to Mike Garland and his affront that a couple of people can stop a transmission line.  Ya know what, Mike?  There's a really simple solution to your problem.  If you bury your transmission line on an existing right-of-way, nobody is even going to want to stop your project in the first place!!  It's a miracle!  Maybe if Mike quits trying to take land from other people upon which to build his profit-making power line, we could make some real progress here.  No sticks, no made up propaganda, no reporter bullshit needed.

And where did the reporter get this notion?
Critics of transmission projects over the years have cited various concerns including the use of eminent domain, environmental impacts and potential effects on property values, among other factors.
Poor little city gal.  She doesn't know where her food comes from!  She completely misses one of the biggest concerns:  Transmission interferes with farming and lowers the yield.  There's actually a lot more to it that the reporter *could* find out, if she bothered to actually contact a rural transmission opposition group.  But she doesn't have time for the folks who grow the food she stuffs in her pie hole.

This whole article is full of derogatory presumptions, such as bringing up NIMBY, and blaming opposition on the fossil fuel industry.
Transmission line projects often face pushback during the permitting process, including opposition from established power providers. Companies that own nuclear and fossil-fuel plants have raised concerns about their ability to compete with wind, solar or hydropower delivered from other markets.

Maine residents last month voted to reject a $950 million transmission line under construction by Spain’s Iberdrola SA that would carry Canadian hydropower into the New England market. NextEra Energy Inc., a power company that operates a nuclear plant and an oil-fueled power plant in Maine, donated about $20 million to a political-action committee opposing the project and was joined by several other companies with plants in the area.NextEra declined to comment. Avangrid Inc., the U.S. subsidiary of Iberdrola that is behind the project, is fighting the ballot measure in court.

“This is really about the transition from the old to the new, and how we manage that,” said Avangrid’s deputy chief executive, Bob Kump.
Some Maine residents also raised concerns about the project’s potential harm to state forests and questioned whether the developer overstated its environmental benefits.
Sandi Howard, a music professor and Registered Maine Guide who leads a grass-roots opposition group, said the removal of tree canopy could hurt tourism and pose environmental and wildlife harms, including disturbing deer wintering areas and hurting native brook trout.
“Sometimes people throw up NIMBY,” said Ms. Howard, referring to the acronym for “not in my backyard.” “It’s bigger than that.”

These thoughtful committed citizens changed the world.  It wasn't about preserving fossil fuels.  Those companies did their own thing because they were protecting their own financial interests from competitor Avangrid.  If the shoe were on the other foot, Avangrid would do the same.  There's no honor among thieves.  I'll give you another analogy to go with it:  The enemy of my enemy is my friend.  If these companies wanted to dump a bunch of money into defeating the power line, are the grassroots groups supposed to stop their opposition?  Think about it, little city gal, and realize what you're "reporting" is presumptuous garbage.

And let's talk about Bob Kump's assertion regarding what this is really about.  Bob gets it wrong.  What it IS about, at its very core, is money.  Piles and piles of big green money!  Kump and his company stand to get very, very rich if they can build a transmission line through rural Maine and pretend to sell "renewable" power to Massachusetts.  It's always about the money.

The comments on this article are numerous.  Perhaps the most infuriating is this one:
Picture
Bribing local communities in exchange for quietly accepting economic, health, and environmental impacts?  But how does that change the impacts?  It doesn't.  Not one bit.  This is the epitome of urban arrogance.  "Oh, let's put our nasties in some place far away where the people are poor and grateful for our crumbs."  Ya know, some states, like West Virginia, are tired of being urban toilets in exchange for a handful of colorful beads.  How about avoiding those impacts in the first place?  Burying the transmission project on existing rights-of-way means that nobody has to suffer, or be paid off to do so.  We're really not grateful for your beneficence.  Take your bribes and shove them.  Maybe if you put your big stick up there first, it can pave the way.

However, the comments overall seem to be telling the reporters the same thing... that Big Government is never the solution.  In fact, it's more likely to be the problem.
Chris Miller, the council’s president, said he remains concerned that the federal government could override state-level decisions on transmission projects without having to consider alternatives with potentially less environmental impact.
“You’re basically taking state and local self-determination and exchanging it for the administrative fiat of FERC,” he said. “If your goal is to protect the environment, that is not acceptable.”
It seems to me that this article could be summed up in one sentence.

Some People oppose transmission, but Most People need new transmission.

Some People are rural.
Most People are urban.

Did the reporter actually count everyone to see which should be labeled "some" and which should be labeled "most"?  How many is "some"?  How many is "most"?  Or are the words "some" and "most" propaganda words used to subliminally sway reader opinion?  Doesn't look like it's working.

This article is nothing more than a bundle of glittering generalities that mean absolutely nothing at all.  What a complete waste of time and effort.  How about reporting the facts for a change and leaving the opinion on the editorial page?  Shame on you Wall Street Journal!
2 Comments

Invenergy Insults Missourians

12/11/2021

1 Comment

 
Who do you think you're fooling, Invenergy?  In response to a puffy, propaganda editorial touting the "genius" of Grain Belt Express, Monroe County Missouri Associate Commissioner Marilyn O'Bannon speaks for Missouri in a response op ed, Misleading Missourians is the real aim of the Grain Belt Express.

O'Bannon says,
Plundering the land of Missouri landowners for private gain is not heroic nor commendable, but rather a shameful abuse of eminent domain laws by an out-of-state billionaire who aims to ship government subsidized wind energy across our state’s borders and profits into the pockets of investors. It does not benefit the state when private companies manipulate our eminent domain laws to serve only their bottom line and not our citizens.
It looks like Invenergy's "Way of the American Genius" public relations campaign hasn't fooled anyone... anyone at all.
... the author’s attempt to equate the corporate behemoths behind Grain Belt Express to true Missouri trailblazers like Mark Twain, J.C. Penney and Walt Disney is an insulting attempt to mislead, misguide and distract readers from the facts. 
First, the Grain Belt Express is not a product of a Missouri genius, but rather an outdated idea of a Chicago billionaire whose intent is to drive profits for investors. If Grain Belt Express was truly innovative they would be taking notes from the SOO Green which delivers renewable energy underground on existing rail rights of way through Iowa to the Eastern U.S., eliminating land and environmental impacts of above-ground merchant transmission lines.
New transmission without landowner sacrifice?  Now that's REAL American genius!  But GBE is a bargain basement, leftover idea that Invenergy bought at fire sale prices from defunct Clean Line Energy Partners at the time it went belly-up after wasting $200M of its investor's money.  Instead of making GBE better, and making it welcome by everyone, Invenergy continues to spend as little as possible trying to make this bad idea work.  It's not like Invenergy cannot bury this project on existing rights of way, it's that it simply chooses not to.  The people of Missouri are not respected in the least by Chicago-based Invenergy and its super-rich CEO Michael Polsky.  Any flimsy excuses by Invenergy that it cannot bury its project should fall on deaf ears because the company has demonstrated that it CAN bury new transmission when it demonstrates a bit of respect for landowners in its path.
Even the Clean Path NY project (of which Invenergy is a partner) is buried underground. One would think an actual genius could modify the Grain Belt Express project to provide all of the “benefits” of clean power without the major disruptions. But corporate greed stands in the way of actual progress.
Corporate greed?  That's right!  Instead of building a more expensive project that doesn't require landowner sacrifice, Invenergy seeks to squeeze maximum profits out of its project idea through the use of eminent domain to acquire land as cheaply as possible.  It's not like the use of eminent domain creates cheaper rates for GBE's customers.  GBE's rates will be market-based; that is it will charge the maximum amount it can negotiate with customers based on the market value of the transmission capacity.  The market value will not change if GBE uses eminent domain.  The market value depends on the value of the service to voluntary customers.

Customers?  GBE only has one, and that contract is priced below cost, a loss leader, signed for the purpose of Public Service Commission approval.  The claims of savings are based on numbers at least 5 years old, and that pie-in-the-sky figure was created based on overpriced contracts with Prairie State that have since expired.  Isn't it time for Invenergy to do a re-calculation based on current contracts and market prices, instead of spending its time creating fake "American Genius" marketing campaigns that serve no foreseeable purpose?  Who is Invenergy marketing to with this campaign?  Is it supposed to be the landowners?  Is it supposed to be the County governments, who have yet to grant assent for the project to cross county roadways?  Is it supposed to be potential future customers that Invenergy has not even attempted to negotiate with in a fair and open manner?

Invenergy isn't fooling anyone, except maybe itself.  Missourians know that there's a very real possibility that the project will never be built.  Instead of seeking customers and financing for its project that would assure Missouri's elected officials that the land taken by eminent domain would actually be used for a public purpose, Invenergy wastes its time and money pretending to be a genius.
... it may surprise some readers to learn the Grain Belt Express is a purely optional merchant transmission line which has not been ordered or required for any ratepayer need. Instead, it is a private, supplemental, profit-making endeavor as a merchant transmitter of electricity that is not restricted to wind energy. It is NOT funded by ratepayers because it is not for them. It is funded by investors who receive the benefit from the project. As an optional project, Invenergy can cancel the Grain Belt Express at any time. In fact, the project may never be built if the economics do not translate into returns for investors. For this reason, the project should not be allowed to take land “for a public use.” Landowners deserve certainty, not smoke and mirrors, and Grain Belt Express should not interfere with landowner rights before it even has customers and financing for their project.
If Invenergy takes land using eminent domain now, there's no guarantee that the land will actually be used for a public purpose.  What happens if Invenergy takes land now and later cancels its project?  Will it have to give the land back when it doesn't serve a public purpose?  Or will it be able to keep the land it took under the guise of public purpose and use it for its own private profit?

Missouri's elected officials are understandably cautious, and they're not fooled in the least by Invenergy's smoke and mirrors.

Read the whole editorial for yourself.
1 Comment
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    About the Author

    Keryn Newman blogs here at StopPATH WV about energy issues, transmission policy, misguided regulation, our greedy energy companies and their corporate spin.
    In 2008, AEP & Allegheny Energy's PATH joint venture used their transmission line routing etch-a-sketch to draw a 765kV line across the street from her house. Oooops! And the rest is history.

    About
    StopPATH Blog

    StopPATH Blog began as a forum for information and opinion about the PATH transmission project.  The PATH project was abandoned in 2012, however, this blog was not.

    StopPATH Blog continues to bring you energy policy news and opinion from a consumer's point of view.  If it's sometimes snarky and oftentimes irreverent, just remember that the truth isn't pretty.  People come here because they want the truth, instead of the usual dreadful lies this industry continues to tell itself.  If you keep reading, I'll keep writing.


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